Milestones - Questions and Answers
The projected cross-over date here is March 16, 2000. This turned out to be off by about only 3 weeks early; actual cross-over date was April 4, 2000.
The projected date here for ODP reaching 2 million is April 29, 2000, 107 days earlier than the actual date of August 14, 2000.
Most of the figures for ODP on this chart courtesy of newwave.
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The projected cross-over date here is May 10, 2000, 36 days later than the actual. Also pointed out is the previous projection of March 16, 2000 for comparison.
The projected date here for ODP reaching 2 million is June 26, 2000, 49 days earlier than the actual.
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Projected cross-over date here is May 8, 2000, only 2 days earlier than the previous date of May 10, 2000, but still 34 days later than the actual.
Projected date for ODP reaching 2 million here is July 3, 2000, a week later than the previous date of June 26, 2000, and 42 days later than the actual.
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The projected cross-over date here is April 15, 2000, nearly a month away from previous projection of May 8. I'm not sure how this could be, especially considering Yahoo's average daily rate of growth was half of the previous month's, and ODP's growth rate went up a little. April 15, 2000 is only 11 days later than the actual.
The average daily growth rates for the time frame of this chart (June 5, 1998 to January 25, 2000) for each directory are: Yahoo - 1,170 and ODP - 3,484
The projected date for ODP reaching 2 million here is June 30, 2000, which is not too far from the previous date of July 3, 2000, but 45 days earlier than the actual.
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Projected dates are now April 11 for cross-over (7 days off), and July 10 for ODP reaching 2 million (35 days off).
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The cross-over date was on April 4, 2000, with ODP having 1,636,849 sites and Yahoo, 1,636,313.
The projected date of ODP reaching 2,000,000 was August 9, just 5 days off the actual.
The average daily growth rates for the time frame of June 5, 1998 to July 24, 2000 for each directory were; Yahoo - 528 (nearly half the previous calculation of 927) and ODP - 3,444 (still on the rise; up from 2,722 as of the previous calculation).
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The projected date of ODP reaching 4.5 million is August 19, 2004 and 5 million on April 28, 2005. The projected date of Yahoo reaching 3 million is September 17, 2005. Hey, that's my birthday! :)
The average daily growth rates are now; Yahoo - 707 (up 133% from 528) and ODP - 1,985 (down 42% from 3,444).
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|Date||Milestone||ODP Size||Yahoo Size|
|February, 1994||Yahoo created (stated in press release)||-||unknown|
|November, 1997||Yahoo's first known figure||-||730,000|
|June 5, 1998||GnuHoo created||unknown||927,126 (calculated)|
|June 18, 1998||GnuHoo's first known figure||27,000||938,990 (calc.)|
|July 1, 1998||GnuHoo renamed NewHoo||31,000||950,854 (calc.)|
|August 25, 1998||Yahoo reaches 1 million||61,035 (calc.)||1,000,136 (calc.)|
|November 17, 1998||Netscape purchases newly
renamed Open Directory Project
|April 1, 1999||Yahoo's famous "1.2 million"||411,831||1,200,000 (assumed)|
|April 16, 1999||Lycos starts ODP use||437,000||1,254,592 (calc.)|
|May 9, 1999||ODP reaches half a million||500,000||1,333,068 (calc.)|
|July 8, 1999||ODP reaches 50% of Yahoo||710,973 (calc.)||1,422,093 (calc.)|
|September 14, 1999||Yahoo reaches 1.5 million||932,019||1,500,370 (calc.)|
|October 5, 1999||ODP reaches 1 million||1,000,000||1,524,835 (calc.)|
|Febuary 12, 2000||ODP reaches 1.5 million||1,500,221||1,639,016 (calc.)|
|April 4, 2000||ODP passes Yahoo||1,636,849||1,636,313|
|August 14, 2000||ODP reaches 2 million||2,000,186||1,813,053|
|January 3, 2001||Yahoo reaches 2 million||2,211,411 (calc.)||2,000,309 (calc.)|
|March 22, 2001||ODP reaches 2.5 million||2,501,586 (calc.)||2,138,030 (calc.)|
|November 18, 2001||ODP reaches 3 million||3,000,028||2,328,794 (calc.)|
|June 21, 2002||ODP reaches 3.5 million||3,500,495||2,394,256 (calc.)|
|June 4, 2003||Yahoo reaches 2.5 million||3,943,643 (calc.)||2,500,212 (calc.)|
|December 3, 2003||ODP reaches 4 million||4,000,000||2,555,626 (calc.)|
|Date||Future Projections...||ODP Size||Yahoo Size|
|August 19, 2004||ODP reaches 4.5 million||4,500,131||2,722,120|
|April 28, 2005||ODP reaches 5 million||5,000,351||2,900,284|
|September 17, 2005||Yahoo reaches 3 million||5,282,221||3,000,678|
|December 18, 2005||Yahoo levels out||5,464,841||3,066,813|
|June 13, 2009||ODP levels out||7,991,746||3,068,086|
Question: How do you get size counts for Yahoo, considering they don't publish their figures?
Answer: By going into each top-level category and adding up the numbers given for each second-level subcategory. Thanks go to ODP editors ederd, donjuan46 and karim for going to the effort to do just that. Karim has now created an automated script to do this job.
Search Engine Watch reported that Yahoo had 1.2 Mil listings "in April of 1999". I took creative license and presumed that meant April 1.
On November 17, 1999, ODP founder Rich Skrenta said "We recently crawled Yahoo to determine the size and composition of their directory. The raw URL count was 1.67 million sites, vs. 1.15 million for the ODP."
The closest figure to 1.15 million that I saw the ODP have on the front page was 1,148,000 on November 8, so I put the 1.15 million figure there, thus making sense to put the 1.67 million figure in Yahoo's spreadsheet cell for November 8.
Question: I work at Yahoo. Need some help with accurate sizes of our directory?
Answer: I thought you'd never ask. Really. Please contact me to prove me wrong when I say that humans don't work at Yahoo.
Question: Where's your wife's page?
That's a pic of her in her bridal gown below. :)
|Humans do it better.